REVEALED: Newcastle have a HIGHER chance of winning the Champions League than Man United predicts Opta supercomputer… with Erik ten Hag’s side more likely to crash out at the group stage than reach the last-16
- Man United have been given only the 15th highest chance of lifting the trophy
- Erik ten Hag’s side have a higher chance of dropping out at the group phase
- CHRIS SUTTON: Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta is a CLOWN – It’s All Kicking Off
Manchester United have been given a lower chance of winning the Champions League than 14 other participating teams including Newcastle, according to Opta’s supercomputer.
Eddie Howe’s side, as well as the likes of RB Leipzig, Real Sociedad and Porto are all ahead of Ten Hag’s side in Opta’s predictions – with United given just a 0.7 per chance of winning Europe’s most prestigious trophy.
The Red Devils are currently third in their group, four points behind Bayern Munich and one behind Galatasaray, ahead of Wednesday’s trip to Copenhagen.
With half the group stage left to play, United have been given just a 46.2 per chance of reaching the last-16 – meaning Opta’s predictions suggest there is a higher chance they will slip out at the current phase of the competition.
Defending champions Manchester City meanwhile are still seen as overwhelming favourites to lift the trophy at the end of the season.
Manchester United are only the 15th favourites to win the Champions League according to Opta’s supercomputer
Newcastle have a higher chance than the Red Devils despite being in the ‘Group of Death’
Erik ten Hag’s side currently have a higher chance of being knocked out at the group phase than they have of reaching the last-16
Man City are strong favourites to win the competition ahead of Real Madrid and Bayern Munich
Opta supercomputer Champions League predictions
* Teams listed with their chance of making the last 16 and winning the competition
Man City – 99.9% last 16, 32.4% to win
Real Madrid – 99.8% last 16, 13.1% to win
Bayern – 99.9% last 16, 12.9% to win
Arsenal – 96.6% last 16, 7.5% to win
Inter – 96% last 16, 6.9% to win
Barcelona – 99.8% last 16, 6.4% to win
Atletico Madrid – 84.8% last 16, 3.5% to win
Napoli – 94.5% last 16, 3.1% to win
PSG – 80.7% last 16, 2.7% to win
Newcastle – 54.4% last 16, 2.5% to win
RB Leipzig – 97.4% last 16, 2.4% to win
Real Sociedad – 93.1% last 16, 1.8% to win
Porto – 96.7% last 16, 1.3% to win
Dortmund – 49.1% last 16, 1.2% to win
Man United – 46.2% last 16, 0.7% to win
Feyenoord – 74.8% last 16, 0.5% to win
Your browser does not support iframes.
They have a 36.4 per chance of winning the competition, more than double that of nearest challengers Real Madrid (13.1 per cent) and Bayern Munich (12.9 per cent).
Arsenal, who are back in Europe’s top competition this season after five years out, are predicted to have the fourth best chance of lifting the trophy for what would be a first time at 7.5 per cent.
They have a 15.9 per chance of reaching the final, not far ahead of Inter Milan at 15.3 and Barcelona at 14.3.
The closest they have come was their 2-1 loss to Barcelona in a dramatic final back in 2006.
Newcastle who had been out of the Champions League for two decades have a 2.5 per cent chance of winning the competition – behind the likes of Inter Milan, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid, Napoli and Paris Saint-Germain.
The Magpies are in a fierce battle to make it out of the group stage, which Opta predicts they have a 54 per cent of doing so – compared to Borussia Dortmund’s 49 per cent.
To finish second in their group, Newcastle have a 28.9 per cent, while Dortmund are at 28.6 per cent – suggesting how closely Opta predicts the ‘Group of Death’ will be.
Of the 16 clubs listed, Man United are seen to have the lowest chance of any of reaching the last eight.
With their 18.1 per cent even lower than Feyenoord – despite the Dutch club seen as having a lower chance of winning the competition altogether.
The Champions League returns tonight with a number of teams already in line to qualify from the group phase.
Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad, Inter Milan, Man City, RB Leipzig and Barceona can all secure their place if results go their way this week.
Opta have predicted Arsenal as the fourth favourites to win the competition this season
IT’S ALL KICKING OFF!
It’s All Kicking Off is an exciting new podcast from Mail Sport that promises a different take on Premier League football, launching with a preview show today and every week this season.
It is available on MailOnline, Mail+, YouTube , Apple Music and Spotify
Your browser does not support iframes.
Source: Read Full Article
