Our Week 11 DraftKings cash lineup will feel a a little weird. Some of the bigger name teams — like the Rams and the Chiefs — aren’t available on the main slate because of their Monday night game. That will create more potential streamers and sleeper for NFL DFS players to target, and you can get Titans, Cowboys, and Lions (stay with me!) at value for how much volume their respective alpha RB/WRs should see in some good spots. We’re looking at top matchups this week and that will help to dictate our strategy.
For posterity and routine, a quick note on last week. The Dion Lewis train dropped us off at our first sub-2.5X on the season, moving our season average to a still-quite-good 156 DraftKings points in Sunday featured contests, via the cash game log. Still, we’re looking to bounce back here in NFL Week 11, and here is the lineup we plan to do that with.
Week 11 Rankings:
Quarterback | Running Back | Wide Receiver | Tight End | D/ST | Kicker
NFL Week 11 DraftKings Cash Lineup
For the DraftKings 10-game Sunday featured slate.
QB Marcus Mariota, Titans @ Colts ($5,500): Mari-GOAT-a lands in the cheaper half of starting QBs in the pool despite topping 22 DK points in each of his starts post-bye. This tracks with his recovery from a throwing-arm injury in Week 1. Indy allowed over 24 DK points to both Blake Bortles and Derek Carr in their past two outings, so this is a sneaky-good spot for Mariota.
RB Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys @ Falcons ($8,500): This cash slate implores you to pay up for either Zeke, Melvin Gordon or CMC in the $8K range. The edge goes to Elliott, since the Cowboys are coming off their healthiest offensive look by a mile and, as DraftKings’ Adam Levitan notes, the Falcons have allowed 20-plus points to an RB in all but one game.
WEEK 11 DFS CASH LINEUPS: Yahoo | FanDuel
RB Kerryon Johnson, Lions vs. Panthers ($5,800): Johnson ranks second in RB targets and 21st in carries over the past two weeks. We’re going cheaper at RB2 to clear cap for big spends at RB1 and TE this week, and Johnson’s recent usage secures a high enough floor to make it work in this price range.
WR Kenny Golladay, Lions vs. Panthers ($5,800): The Panthers typically shadow larger X receivers with James Bradberry, but this doesn’t spook us off Golladay since Bradberry allows the fifth-most yards into his coverage across the league. The Golden Tate trade and Marvin Jones injury funneled 13 targets to Golladay in Week 10 so if that volume continues, he could be a steal.
WR Corey Davis, Titans @ Colts ($5,600): If Sunday wasn’t the Davis breakout, I don’t know would be. He just hit 7-for-125 despite getting the shadow from Stephon Gilmore, who entered Sunday as the league leader in pass breakups and No. 2 CB in yards per coverage snap — this among 24 CBs with minimum 300 cover snaps per PFF data. However, it’s not being priced like a breakout, so we’re getting a bargain here.
WEEK 11 DFS GPP LINEUPS: Yahoo | FanDuel | DraftKings
WR Amari Cooper, Cowboys @ Falcons ($5,400): I’m getting past the apprehension of playing a WR on a new team since the Cowboys have established Cooper as the clear focal point in a suddenly functional pass offense. Since his Dallas debut, Cooper’s 17 targets rank eighth among WRs across the league with Zeke being the next closest Cowboy during that span with 11.
TE Zach Ertz, Eagles @ Saints ($6,600): Another TE wasteland slate, so I’ll pay the premium for floor. Excluding Week 9 when the Eagles went on bye, the 52 targets that Carson Wentz has slung to Ertz put him 16 ahead of any other tight end since Week 5. No. 2 is a tie between Austin Hooper and Travis Kelce, and the Chiefs aren’t in action on the main slate since they play Monday night.
MORE WEEK 11 DFS: Values | Stacks | Lineup Builder
FLEX Keke Coutee, Texans @ Redskins ($4,500): I’m anticipating a healthy return for Coutee off the Texans’ bye, and Coutee averaged 11 targets over the two games he avoided injury and avoided a matchup with the game-script crushing Bills. It’s a small sample, but this is a great price for Coutee against a Washington D that is allowing the fifth-most DK points to receivers.
D/ST New Orleans Saints vs. Eagles ($2,100): I love getting a basement price defense at home as TD-plus favorites. Philly could find a pay-dirt three or more times while this play manages to clear 2.5X, helped by the floor from Carson Wentz taking the fifth-most sacks since his return in Week 3.
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