Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State odds, line: 2018 college football picks, predictions from model on 5-1 roll

Texas A&M looks to stay in the hunt for second place in the SEC West when it heads to Mississippi State as an underdog for a Saturday 7 p.m. ET showdown. The Bulldogs are 1.5-point home favorites with the total set at 43.5 in the latest Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State odds. A win this week will be critical for both teams as the Aggies look to keep pace with LSU for second place behind Alabama in the SEC West, while MSU seeks to get back to .500 in its quest for bowl eligibility. Before you make any Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State picks and predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks.

The model made several huge calls against the spread in Week 8, including nailing LSU (-6) over Mississippi State, Washington State (-3) over Oregon and Alabama (-29.5) over Tennessee. And when it comes to top-rated picks against the spread, it finished Week 8 on a strong 5-1 run. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now it has simulated Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that model has a slight lean to the under, but its strongest pick is against the spread, saying one side hits nearly 60 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account that expectations were high for the once-ranked Bulldogs, especially after they clobbered Kansas State 31-10 in Manhattan in Week 2. But the offense has found life difficult in the SEC.

Mississippi State found enough ways to score to knock off Auburn 23-9 two weeks ago, but in its other three SEC games against Kentucky, Florida and LSU, the Bulldogs have managed just 16 points. 

Luckily, teams have found it just as hard to score against Mississippi State and its sixth-ranked defense that’s allowing only 17.3 points per game. Defensive end Montez Sweat has 8.5 of the Bulldogs’ 19 sacks and the defensive unit as a whole has 56 tackles for loss on the season.

But just because Mississippi State features a ferocious defense doesn’t mean it will cover against a rested Texas A&M squad.

The Aggies have lost two games this season — to Alabama and Clemson, the top two teams in the nation. They’ve won three in a row, all single-digit nail-biters, against Arkansas, Kentucky and South Carolina.

Usually known for an explosive offense, it has been A&M’s 21st-ranked defense that has kept the Aggies rolling this season. Opponents have managed to get into the red zone just 15 times all year against Texas A&M, with nine touchdowns allowed. By comparison, the Aggies’ offense has 35 red zone appearances this season.

So, which side of the Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine to see which side of Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State you need to jump on, all from the model that has returned over $4,000 in profit to $100 bettors over the last three seasons.

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