Projecting the new NBA playoffs: Most likely surprises and upsets

  • Co-author, Pro Basketball Prospectus series
  • Formerly a consultant with the Indiana Pacers
  • Developed WARP rating and SCHOENE system

Now that we know the details of the NBA’s 22-team plan to resume the 2019-20 season in Orlando, Florida, what do they mean?

On Friday, I broke down the winners and losers of the restart plan based on the broad outline we knew then — 22 teams, additional regular-season games and play-in tournaments for both conferences. Now sources tell ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski that teams will play eight additional games each, and the play-in tournaments will involve only the eighth and ninth seeds so long as the team in ninth is within four games of eighth.

Will this lead to surprises and upsets? How likely are play-in tournaments? And what do we still not know? Let’s take a look.

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